Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.656779 8.451442 9.315640 10.329025 11.489555 12.782706 14.340462
2026-01-04 6.655598 7.724655 8.966434 10.529111 12.462518 14.801980 17.886945
2026-01-11 5.851636 7.013825 8.422826 10.281464 12.706295 15.816538 20.198838
2026-01-18 5.467472 6.734975 8.329080 10.520298 13.517673 17.572871 23.654141
2026-01-25 5.006191 6.298024 7.969699 10.343490 13.716636 18.484372 26.019351
2026-02-01 4.642445 5.948148 7.680368 10.211992 13.934712 19.411569 28.502785
2026-02-08 4.323289 5.627709 7.396217 10.047408 14.067215 20.200469 30.855839
2026-02-15 4.033782 5.323883 7.106572 9.839844 14.099452 20.817402 32.991938
2026-02-22 3.824668 5.116119 6.934146 9.784161 14.349036 21.793704 35.885228
2026-03-01 3.560967 4.812784 6.600477 9.451792 14.118203 21.934256 37.259509
2026-03-08 3.287442 4.479534 6.201432 8.986010 13.623002 21.560316 37.582670
2026-03-15 3.115925 4.286399 5.999724 8.815828 13.602842 22.012851 39.599577
2026-03-22 3.176906 4.446673 6.351188 9.577040 15.275985 25.795677 49.357243
2026-03-29 3.094992 4.385148 6.353892 9.760995 15.950726 27.801204 55.759935
2026-04-05 2.931288 4.187883 6.128183 9.536255 15.849524 28.252117 58.628824
2026-04-12 2.872656 4.150909 6.156792 9.752890 16.597589 30.541935 66.581723
2026-04-19 2.743497 3.995150 5.981207 9.592534 16.597677 31.240674 70.583513
2026-04-26 2.631746 3.861714 5.834802 9.473220 16.665675 32.095471 75.235786
2026-05-03 2.522343 3.726873 5.678478 9.323827 16.656894 32.773708 79.567645
2026-05-10 2.413320 3.587798 5.507678 9.135323 16.548698 33.205360 83.285091
2026-05-17 2.335188 3.496191 5.413483 9.084734 16.725919 34.344685 89.569722
2026-05-24 2.219624 3.337626 5.195556 8.782606 16.334367 34.032989 91.003229
2026-05-31 2.090374 3.151740 4.922453 8.358711 15.644863 32.896690 89.372803